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HVAC Service Area Data

Scores ZIP codes for HVAC contractors by weighting older owner-occupied homes with household incomes high enough to fund system replacement — the two factors most predictive of HVAC demand. AreaOps scores 41,120 ZIP codes for HVAC demand using 2022 ACS 5-Year data. The national average score is 67/100, so anything well above it signals a metro worth a closer look. Use this to build a target list before your next LSA, direct-mail, or expansion decision — not to explain one after the budget's already spent.

41,120
ZIPs analyzed
67
National avg score
10
Pilot metros

Top Metros for HVAC

Nashville, TN72/Medium1492,374,185Best ZIPs →
Portland, OR72/Medium1582,515,310Best ZIPs →
Phoenix, AZ71/Medium2285,032,571Best ZIPs →
San Antonio, TX71/Medium1482,696,693Best ZIPs →
Minneapolis, MN71/Medium2953,705,985Best ZIPs →
Dallas, TX70/Medium4018,168,765Best ZIPs →
Chicago, IL70/Medium4699,374,477Best ZIPs →
Tampa, FL70/Medium2173,375,576Best ZIPs →
Austin, TX70/Medium1292,436,734Best ZIPs →
Jacksonville, FL70/Medium871,703,089Best ZIPs →

Click any column header to sort · 2022 ACS 5-Year

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the HVAC targeting score computed?▾

Each ZIP starts at a baseline of 50 and is nudged up or down based on Census ACS signals weighted for the HVAC vertical — primarily owner occupancy, single-family share, home age, and median household income. Scores range 0–100.

How current is the data?▾

Scores are computed from 2022 ACS 5-Year data. We refresh scores monthly as new Census vintages become available.

How do I use this data to build a HVAC service area?▾

Filter the top-scoring ZIP codes for your target metro, then import them into AreaOps to create a named territory. You can combine score thresholds with revenue data from your CRM to prioritize expansion zones.

Are higher-scoring ZIPs always the right choice?▾

High scores indicate strong demographic fit, not guaranteed revenue. Competition, distance from your hub, and your team's current capacity also matter. Use the score as one signal among several — not a sole qualifier.

Manage Your Service Areas — for HVAC businesses

AreaOps gives your ops team a visual territory map, bulk ZIP import, and the full scoring model — all filterable by the demographics that drive demand for your specific vertical.